How VAR controversy changed the outcome of two massive title races

How VAR controversy changed the outcome of two massive title races

The Premier League title isn't won on the training pitch or in the boardroom anymore. It’s won in a windowless room in Stockport. Since Video Assistant Referees arrived in 2019, the conversation around English football shifted from tactical genius to frame-by-frame analysis of armpits and kneecaps. Fans don't celebrate goals immediately. They wait. They look at the referee. They look at the big screen. That silence—that agonizing ten-second gap where joy goes to die—is now the defining feature of the modern title race.

If you look back at the most recent photo finishes between Manchester City, Liverpool, and Arsenal, the margins were razor-thin. We aren't talking about five-point gaps. We're talking about single points or even goal difference. In that environment, a single botched offside line or a missed handball isn't just a "mistake." It’s a million-pound error that alters the history of the sport.

The Rodri handball that haunted Liverpool

You can't talk about VAR and title battles without starting at Goodison Park in February 2022. Manchester City were leading Everton 1-0 late in the game. The ball clearly struck Rodri’s arm in the box. It wasn't a "maybe." It wasn't "subjective." It was a blatant handball by any interpretation of the laws of the game.

The referee on the pitch, Paul Tierney, missed it. That happens. Referees are human. But Chris Kavanagh, the VAR that day, looked at the footage and decided not to intervene. He didn't see enough evidence to overturn the on-field decision. The PGMOL, the body responsible for refereeing in England, later issued a formal apology to Frank Lampard and Everton.

Apologies don't win trophies.

City took the three points. At the end of the season, they finished just one point ahead of Liverpool. If that penalty is given and Everton score, the trophy likely goes to Anfield. Think about the ripple effect. That single non-call stopped Jurgen Klopp from winning a second Premier League title and perhaps changed the entire psychological momentum of those two clubs for the following year. It’s a prime example of how a technical failure in a mid-season game becomes the primary narrative of a thirty-eight-game season.

Arsenal and the forgotten offside lines

Arsenal fans still get a twitch in their eye when you mention Lee Mason. In February 2023, the Gunners were locked in a fierce battle with Manchester City. They faced Brentford at home and were leading 1-0. Ivan Toney equalized for Brentford, but the goal should have been chalked off. Christian Norgaard was in an offside position when he headed the ball across to Toney.

What did the VAR do? He forgot to draw the lines.

Literally. Lee Mason, the lead VAR, spent so much time checking a different incident earlier in the build-up that he simply failed to check the Norgaard offside. The goal stood. Arsenal dropped two points. They eventually lost the title to City by five points, but that moment was the beginning of the end. It punctured their aura of invincibility. It suggested that no matter how well they played, the system could fail them at any moment.

When you're chasing a juggernaut like Pep Guardiola’s City, you need perfection. You also need the officials to be competent enough to follow their own protocols. When they aren't, the league's integrity takes a massive hit.

The subjective mess of subjective decisions

The biggest problem isn't the technology. It’s the people using it. The phrase "clear and obvious" has become a shield for referees to avoid making difficult calls. What’s clear to one person is "subjective" to another. We see this constantly with "subjective offside" calls where a player in an offside position might—or might not—be interfering with the goalkeeper’s line of sight.

Take the Manchester Derby in early 2023. Marcus Rashford was yards offside but didn't touch the ball, allowing Bruno Fernandes to sweep it home. The goal stood because the officials decided Rashford wasn't "interfering." Every defender on the pitch stopped because of Rashford's presence. It was a decision that defied the "smell test" of football. It’s these moments where the logic of the rulebook clashes with the reality of how the game is played.

Why the technology still feels like a gamble

We were promised that VAR would end the era of the "big club bias" and the "human error" that defined the 90s and 2000s. Instead, it’s just shifted the error to a digital format.

  • Calibration issues: The cameras aren't always high-speed enough to catch the exact moment a ball leaves a foot.
  • Frame rate limits: At 50 frames per second, a player can move several inches between frames.
  • Human ego: There is a persistent feeling that VARs are hesitant to "humiliate" their colleagues on the pitch by overturning too many calls.

The stats show that VAR does get more calls right than wrong in a vacuum. But football isn't played in a vacuum. It’s played in a stadium full of screaming fans where momentum is a physical force. When a VAR check takes four minutes, that momentum vanishes. The home team loses their edge. The rhythm of the game breaks. These are the intangible ways that technology influences who wins the league.

Comparing the eras of refereeing influence

Before VAR, we complained about Howard Webb or Mark Clattenburg making "main character" decisions. We thought technology would be the neutral arbiter. But look at the 2023-24 season. The Luis Diaz "ghost goal" against Tottenham—where the VAR correctly saw he was onside but accidentally communicated the wrong message to the referee—is arguably the greatest officiating blunder in the history of the league.

Liverpool lost that game. They missed out on points that would have kept them in a three-way title race until the final week. Instead, they fell away. When you compare the 2024 race to the pre-VAR battles of the early 2000s, the difference is stark. In 2004, you’d argue about a dive. In 2024, you’re arguing about the geometry of a digital line drawn by a guy in a booth who might have misunderstood a radio transmission.

What needs to happen right now

If the Premier League wants to save the title race from becoming a courtroom drama, they have to move toward semi-automated offside technology. It works in the Champions League. It’s fast. It’s objective. It takes the "drawing lines" out of human hands.

But beyond the tech, the communication needs an overhaul. We should hear the VAR audio in real-time. Transparency kills conspiracy theories. Right now, the lack of clarity breeds the idea that the league is "rigged" or that certain teams get a favorable whistle. Most fans can accept a mistake if they understand the logic behind it. They can't accept a mistake that happens in total silence.

Stop looking for reasons to rule out goals. The "clear and obvious" threshold needs to be raised so high that VAR only intervenes for the absolute howlers. Let the game breathe. If you have to look at a replay twenty times to find a foul, it wasn't a foul.

Pay attention to the upcoming PGMOL briefings. Demand more than just an "apology" when your team loses points due to a technical error. The only way the standard of officiating improves is through relentless pressure from clubs and fans alike. Check the weekly referee appointments. If you see the same names making the same errors in title-deciding games, question why they’re still there.

The 2026 season is already shaping up to be another close one. Don't let the man in the Stockport booth be the one who decides where the trophy goes.

LY

Lily Young

With a passion for uncovering the truth, Lily Young has spent years reporting on complex issues across business, technology, and global affairs.